Prescott Valley, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

565
FXUS65 KFGZ 112250
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
350 PM MST Sat Apr 11 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Windy and cooler weather will continue into the early
part of next week. A few showers will continue into early Saturday
evening, then the next round of showers is expected Monday
afternoon into Tuesday. Some light snow could fall above 6000 feet
Monday night into Tuesday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The initial shortwave associated with a west coast
low moved through our region early this morning and is now exiting
to the east. A band of rain brought a few hundredths up to 0.20",
mainly before 8 AM. Behind the shortwave, a few instability
showers will develop for the rest of this afternoon, along with
southwest winds gusting 30-40 mph. The low will be centered over
northern California on Sunday, with another shortwave moving
through our area. This will cause winds to increase further, and
we have issued a Wind Advisory from 8 AM to 8 PM MST (9 AM to 9 PM
Navajo Nation). For Monday into Tuesday - the main trough is
forecast to move through our area, bringing more wind on Monday
and a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms from Monday
afternoon into Tuesday morning. Some showers may linger into
Tuesday afternoon. Another Wind Advisory may be needed for Monday,
primarily in eastern Arizona. Colder air is also expected to
arrive Monday evening into Tuesday morning, dropping snow levels
as low as 6000-6500 feet. Overall precipitation amounts are
currently forecast to remain light, but some areas above about
6500 feet could see some minor snow accumulation Monday evening
into Tuesday morning. Probabilities for seeing even a half inch
of snow are currently only in the 10-30% range at higher
elevations, but as we know even a small amount can cause issues on
the roadways.

Wednesday through Friday - temperatures warm back near normal
Wednesday along with lighter winds as we are in between systems.
Winds start to increase again Thursday as the next trough is forecast
to approach from the northwest. By Friday, some of the guidance
moves the low far enough south for a chance of precipitation and
cooler temperatures but the majority of ensemble members do not.
So for now PoPs are below 10% but this bears watching.

&&

.AVIATION...Sunday 12/00Z through Monday 13/00Z...VFR conditions.
Winds S/SW 5-15 kts before 15Z, then increasing to 20-30 kts with
gusts 35-45 kts.

OUTLOOK...Monday 13/00Z through Wednesday 15/00Z...VFR conditions
through 12Z Monday, with MVFR possible in SCT SHRA/SHSN thereafter.
Winds S/SW 15-25 kts with gusts 30-40 kts on Monday, becoming W 5-15
kts on Tuesday. Winds will remain elevated immediately downwind of
the terrain Sunday night.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Dry and windy during the day
Sunday, then isolated showers possible in far NW AZ late Sunday
evening through Monday morning. A 30-60% chance of showers spreads
across most of northern AZ Monday afternoon through night. Snow
levels drop as low as 6000 ft on Monday night, and a dusting of snow
is possible above 6500-7000 ft. Winds are SW 20-30 mph with gusts 35-
45 mph each day. Minimum RH is 15-30% on Sunday, then 20-50% on
Monday.

Tuesday through Thursday...Below normal temperatures with lingering
10-20% chance of showers on Tuesday, then dry with near normal
temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday. Winds are W-NW 5-15 mph with
gusts 20-25 mph Tuesday, turning SW-W on Wednesday, then SW 10-20
mph gusting 25-35 mph on Thursday. Minimum RH is 15-30% on Tuesday,
then 10-20% Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 8 AM MST /9 AM MDT/ to 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/
Sunday for AZZ004-006>017-039-040.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ
AVIATION...Humphreys
FIRE WEATHER...Lewandowski

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff